Obama surging on Intrade & IEM
Obama surged 5.1 on Intrade yesterday and is up another 2.9 to 63.9 today (meaning real money bettors think he has a 63.9% chance of winning) and the Electoral count now has him winning 338-200 (270 needed to win) (see www.intrade.com). The Iowa Electronic Markets are similarly favorable: http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres08_WTA.cfm
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He is also surging with us and the UK betting markets. Current forecast is at 71% and he has been climbing all day: http://www.hubdub.com/m17795/Who_will_win_the_2008_US_Presidential_Election
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